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Creators/Authors contains: "Davis, Charles C"

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  1. Summary Reflectance spectroscopy is a rapid method for estimating traits and discriminating species. Spectral libraries from herbarium specimens represent an untapped resource for generating broad phenomic datasets across space, time, and taxa.We conducted a proof‐of‐concept study using trait data and spectra from herbarium specimens up to 179 yr old, alongside data from recently dried and pressed leaves. We validated model accuracy and transferability for trait prediction and taxonomic discrimination.Trait models from herbarium spectra predicted leaf mass per area (LMA) withR2 = 0.94 and %RMSE = 4.86%. Models for LMA prediction were transferable between herbarium and pressed spectra, achievingR2 = 0.88, %RMSE = 8.76% for herbarium to pressed spectra, andR2 = 0.76, %RMSE = 10.5% for the reverse transfer. Discriminant models classified leaf spectra from 25 species with 74% accuracy, and classification probabilities were significantly associated with several herbarium specimen quality metrics.The results validate herbarium spectral data for trait prediction and taxonomic discrimination, and demonstrate that trait modeling can benefit from the complementary use of pressed‐leaf and herbarium‐leaf spectral datasets. These promising advancements help to justify the spectral digitization of plant biodiversity collections and support their application in broad ecological and evolutionary investigations. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available July 4, 2026
  2. Free, publicly-accessible full text available March 1, 2026
  3. Free, publicly-accessible full text available February 1, 2026
  4. Abstract Anthropogenic pressures on biodiversity necessitate efficient and highly scalable methods to predict global species distributions. Current species distribution models (SDMs) face limitations with large-scale datasets, complex interspecies interactions, and data quality. Here, we introduce EcoVAE, a framework of autoencoder-based generative models trained separately on nearly 124 million georeferenced occurrences from taxa including plants, butterflies and mammals, to predict their global distributions at both genus and species levels. EcoVAE achieves high precision and speed, captures underlying distribution patterns through unsupervised learning, and reveals interspecies interactions viain silicoperturbation analyses. Additionally, it evaluates global sampling efforts and interpolates distributions without relying on environmental variables, offering new applications for biodiversity exploration and monitoring. 
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  5. Free, publicly-accessible full text available February 1, 2026
  6. Last month, Duke University in North Carolina announced that it was shuttering its herbarium. The collection consists of nearly 1 million specimens representing the most comprehensive and historic set of plants from the southeastern United States. It also includes extensive holdings from other regions of the world, especially Mexico, Central America, and the West Indies. Duke plans to disperse these samples to other institutions for use or storage over the next 2 to 3 years, but this decision reflects a lack of awareness by academia that such collections are being leveraged as never before. With modern technologies spanning multiple fields of study, the holdings in herbaria and other natural history collections are not only facilitating a deeper and broader understanding of the past and present world but are also providing tools to meet both known and unforeseen challenges facing humanity. Science and society can hardly risk the loss of such an important resource. 
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  7. Summary Natural history collections (NHCs) are essential for studying biodiversity. Although spatial, temporal, and taxonomic biases in NHCs affect analyses, the influence of collector practices on biases remains largely unexplored.We utilized one million digitized specimens collected in the northeastern United States byc.10 000 collectors to investigate how collector practices shape spatial, temporal, and taxonomic biases in NHCs; and similarities and differences between practices of more‐ and less‐prolific collectors.We identified six common collector practices, or collection norms: collectors generally collected different species, from multiple locations, from sites sampled by others, during the principal growing season, species identifiable outside peak collecting months, and species from species‐poor families and genera. Some norms changed over decades, with different taxa favored during different periods. Collection norms have increased taxonomic coverage in NHCs; however, collectors typically avoided large, taxonomically complex groups, causing their underrepresentation in NHCs. Less‐prolific collectors greatly enhanced coverage by collecting during more months and from less‐sampled locations.We assert that overall collection biases are shaped by shared predictable collection norms rather than random practices of individual collectors. Predictable biases offer an opportunity to more effectively address biases in future biodiversity models. 
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    Free, publicly-accessible full text available June 19, 2026
  8. Phenology varies widely over space and time because of its sensitivity to climate. However, whether phenological variation is primarily generated by rapid organismal responses (plasticity) or local adaptation remains unresolved. Here we used 1,038,027 herbarium specimens representing 1,605 species from the continental United States to measure flowering-time sensitivity to temperature over time (Stime) and space (Sspace). By comparing these estimates, we inferred how adaptation and plasticity historically influenced phenology along temperature gradients and how their contributions vary among species with different phenology and native climates and among ecoregions differing in species composition. Parameters Sspace and Stime were positively correlated (r = 0.87), of similar magnitude and more frequently consistent with plasticity than adaptation. Apparent plasticity and adaptation generated earlier flowering in spring, limited responsiveness in late summer and delayed flowering in autumn in response to temperature increases. Nonetheless, ecoregions differed in the relative contributions of adaptation and plasticity, from consistently greater importance of plasticity (for example, southeastern United States plains) to their nearly equal importance throughout the season (for example, Western Sierra Madre Piedmont). Our results support the hypothesis that plasticity is the primary driver of flowering-time variation along temperature gradients, with local adaptation having a widespread but comparatively limited role. 
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